by sslifer | Jan 19, 2024 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
January 19, 2024 Most economists expect the economy to slow in the first half of 2023 and some still anticipate a recession in the months ahead. That appears to be an increasingly unlikely scenario. The economy closed out last year on a strong note and that strength...
by sslifer | Dec 15, 2023 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
December 15, 2023 Looking ahead to 2024 the economy should largely shrug off the remaining impact of high interest rates and not slip into recession. Inflation should continue to trend lower but its rate of descent will be less pronounced than in this past year. It...
by sslifer | Dec 8, 2023 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
December 8, 2023 The employment report for November defied expectations as the economy generated 199 thousand jobs and the unemployment rate fell 0.2% to 3.7%. At the same time, consumer sentiment jumped 13% in December and is now close to its highest level in two...
by sslifer | Nov 10, 2023 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
November 10, 2023 The recent productivity spurt is worth noting and is, perhaps, the beginning of a longer-lasting uptrend. If so, the economy’s economic speed limit could climb from 1.8% today to perhaps 2.5%. Faster potential growth is the holy grail of...
by sslifer | Nov 3, 2023 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
November 3, 2022 The employment report for October confirmed that the monthly gains in employment continue to slow gradually. The 150 thousand increase in employment was held down by the loss of 33 thousand workers in the automobile industry caused by the UAW strike,...
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