by sslifer | Apr 18, 2025 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
April 18, 2025 One can justify almost any forecast of the economic environment between now and yearend from recession with a big increase in the unemployment rate and a dramatic pickup in the inflation rate, to moderate growth with a slight pickup in inflation and a...
by sslifer | Apr 11, 2025 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
April 11, 2025 It is hard not to see the potential dangers from the Trump-initiated trade war. Consumer confidence has plunged. Small business confidence has declined. Investor confidence has collapsed. Those who envision a recession ahead or stagflation can make...
by sslifer | Apr 4, 2025 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
Of all the weeks to be out of commission i happen to pick this one — without a doubt the most interesting week of the year. I tried to sit at my computer this morning and come up with something. But that last less than 5 minutes. Back surgery really hurts! I...
by sslifer | Mar 28, 2025 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
March 28, 2025 The consumer spending data for February combined with modest downward revisions to earlier months suggest GDP will rise only about 0.5% in the first quarter. A large portion of the first quarter weakness reflects a surge in imports as firms tried to...
by sslifer | Mar 14, 2025 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
March 13, 2025 Americans have never experienced the chaotic policy-making that has come from Washington in the past two months. The on-again off-again tariffs, massive layoffs of federal government workers and the roundup of illegal immigrants, have made consumers,...
by sslifer | Mar 7, 2025 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
March 7, 2025 The chaotic nature of the Administration’s implementation of tariffs, immigration policy, and federal government layoffs is creating considerable uncertainty for consumers and business leaders. Thus far the economic damage has been minimal, but if it...
Follow Me