by sslifer | Dec 6, 2024 | Consumer, NumberNomics Notes
December 6, 2024 The preliminary estimate of consumer sentiment for December rose 2.2 points to 74.0 which is its highest level since April. This is the fifth consecutive month that sentiment has risen. Surveys of Consumers Director Joanne Hsu said, “Consumer...
by sslifer | Dec 2, 2024 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
2025 Economic Outlook Conference In times of uncertainty whether you are running a business or planning your investments, knowledge can be your most valuable asset. Stephen Slifer, Owner and Chief Economist at NumberNomics will provide insight regarding...
by sslifer | Nov 22, 2024 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
November 22, 2024 Every economist has attempted to predict the impact on economic growth and inflation from the long list of policies Trump is supporting. Economic forecasting is challenging enough every year when dealing with the usual variables — consumer...
by sslifer | Nov 15, 2024 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
November 15, 2024 The retail sales data for October combined with upwards revisions to September indicate that the consumer is still willing to spend. That is not a great surprise. Driven by the rapid ascent of the stock market and surging home prices, consumer net...
by sslifer | Nov 8, 2024 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
November 8, 2024 When asked about their level of confidence consumers often highlight inflation as a major concern. When inflation began to rise in mid-2020 Fed Chair Powell told us not to worry because the run-up in prices would be temporary. That led us to...
by sslifer | Nov 1, 2024 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
November 1, 2024 Inflation fears have permeated the bond market as the yield on the 10-year note has risen 0.7% since mid-September. This dramatic increase seems to reflect inflation concerns stemming from the policies advocated by both presidential candidates. ...
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