by sslifer | Jan 9, 2026 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
January 9, 2026 Data released in the past several weeks have not only beaten expectations, they have crushed them. For now it is hard to dispute the notion that the economy is on a roll. The trade deficit is shrinking rapidly and is contributing significantly to...
by sslifer | Jan 9, 2026 | Forecasts, NumberNomics Notes
January 9, 2026 The economy expanded at a 4.3% GDP growth in the third quarter and we expect the same 4.3% growth rate in the fourth quarter. Given the GDP forecast above, the unemployment rate ended the year at the end at 4.4% and given rapid growth in GDP in 2026...
by sslifer | Jan 9, 2026 | Employment, NumberNomics Notes
January 9, 2026 . Payroll employment climbed by 50 thousand in December after having climbed by 56 thousand in October In the past three months payroll employment has declined on average by 22 thousand per month but that includes the big decline of 173 thousand...
by sslifer | Jan 9, 2026 | Employment, NumberNomics Notes
January 9, 2026 . Private sector employment climbed by 37 thousand in December after having climbed by 40 thousand in November In the past three months private employment has risen on average by 29 thousand. In addition to hiring workers employers can also alter the...
by sslifer | Jan 9, 2026 | Employment, NumberNomics Notes
January 9, 2026 OK The unemployment rate fell 0.1% in December to 4.4% after having risen 0.1% in November.. The labor force declined 46 thousand in December while employment rose 232 thousand. As a result, the number of unemployed workers declined by 278 thousand...
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