Payroll Employment

February 11, 2026 . Payroll employment climbed by 130 thousand in January following an increase of 48 thousand in December.  In the past three months payroll employment has risen on average by 73  thousand per mont.   Employment should continue to rise slowly in...

Private Employment

February 11, 2026 . Privatge sector employment climbed by 130 thousand in January following an increase of 64 thousand in December.  In the past three months private employment has risen on average by 103  thousand per month.   Employment should continue to rise...

Unemployment Rate

February 11, 2026 OK The unemployment rate fell 0.1% in January to 4.3% after having declined 0.1% in December..  The labor force climbed by 387 thousand in January while employment rose 528 thousand.  As a result, the number of unemployed workers declined by 141...

Nonfarm Workweek

Februarty 11, 2026 In any given month employers can boost output by either additional hiring workers or by lengthening the number of hours that their employees work.  Payroll employment climbed by 130 thousand in January.  The nonfarm workweek rose 0.1 hour in...

Average Hourly Earnings

February 11 2026 Average  hourly earnings rose 0.4% in January to $37.17 after having risen 0.1% in Decvember,  Earnings growth  in the past year has been 3.7%. While nominal earnings have risen 3.7% in the past year, inflation has risen fairly quickly and real or...

Employment Cost Index

February 10, 2026 The employment cost index for civilian workers rose 0.7% in the fourth quarter which works out to a 3.0% annual rate after gainng 3.8% in the third quarter.    Over the course of the past year it has risen 3.4% but what is importanat is that it...

Retail Sales

February 10, 2026 Retail sales was unchanged in December after having risen rose 0.6% in November   In the past year retail sales have risen 2.4% Motor vehicle sales declined 0.2% in December after having risen 1.2% in November.   The October weakness was caused by...

Small Business Optimism

February 10,2026 . Small business optimism declined 0.2 point in January to 99.3 after having risen 0.5 point in December.  The index level remains slightly above the 40-year average rate of 98.0 which is regarded as the breakeven point for this series. lNFIB Chief...

Market Fears Rise

February 6, 2026 Market participants had plenty to think about this past week.  President Trump named Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair.  Who is this guy and to what extent will he be pushing hard for the significant drop in rates that Trump wants to see?  The...

Consumer Sentiment

 February 6, 2026 The preliminary estimate of consumer sentiment for Febuary rose 0.9 point to 57.3 after having climbed 3.5 points in December  Surveys of Consumers Director Joanne Hsu said, "Consumer sentiment was essentially unchanged, inching up less than one...

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