Employment Surges – Fed Poised to Raise Rates
September 4, 2026 If there was any doubt previously, the employment report appears to have given the Fed a green light to raise rates at their next meeting on September 15-16. The 162 thousand increase in payroll employment for August was higher than the consensus...
Payroll Employment
September 4, 2026 . .Payroll employment jumped by 162 thousand in August after rising by 21 thousand in July. In the past three months payroll employment has risen on average by 71 thousand per month .The labor market seems to be improving slowly but steadily....
Private Employment
September 4, 2026 . Private sector employment jumped by 127 thousand in August after rising by 71 thousand in July. In the past three months private sector employment has risen on average by 75 thousand per month .The labor market seems to be improving slowly...
Unemployment Rate
September 4, 2026 OK The unemployment rate was unchanged in August at 4.1% after having fallen 0.1% in July. The labor force jumped by 683 thousand in August while employment rose by 569 thousand. As a result, the number of unemployed workers rose by 115 thousand...
Nonfarm Workweek
September 4, 2026 In any given month employers can boost output by either additional hiring workers or by lengthening the number of hours that their employees work. Payroll employment rose by 162 thousand in August. At the same time the nonfarm workweek rise 0,1...
Average Hourly Earnings
September 4, 2026 Average hourly earnings rose 0.3% in August to $37.75 after climbing 0.2%in July, Earnings growth in the past year has been 3.1%. While nominal earnings have risen 3.1% in the past year, inflation has risen by 3.2% so real or inflation-adjusted...
Average Duration of Unemployment
September 4, 2025 The average duration of unemployment rose 1.4 weeks in August to 26.3 weeks in August after having fallen 0.6 week in July. That works out to an average duration of unemployment of six months. It appears that unemployed workers are having a...
Long Rates Have Risen Sharply. The New Normal?
August 12, 2026 There has been a lot of discussion about the recent increase in the yield on the 10-year note. It has climbed from 4.1% in February to 4.6% currently. Is it being driven by inflation fears? Or are supply issues by the U. S. Treasury combined with...
Consumer Price Index
August 12, 2026 The CPI rose 0.1% in July after falling 0.4% in June The year-over-year increase is now 3.3%. We expect the overall CPI to increase 3.4% in 2026 versus 2.4% in 2025 as the war with Iran has boosted oil prices. Food prices rose 0.1% in July after...
Existing Home Sales
August 11, 2026 . Existing home sales declined 1.7% in July to 4,060 thousand after falling 1.4% in June. .Home sales have been floundering at about this same pace for the past two years. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist said that. “Home sales have been...
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