by sslifer | Oct 9, 2026 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
2027 Economic Outlook Conference In times of uncertainty whether you are running a business or planning your investments, knowledge can be your most valuable asset. Stephen Slifer, Owner and Chief Economist at NumberNomics will provide insight regarding what to...
by sslifer | Oct 9, 2026 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
October 9, 2026 The Federal Reserve raised the funds rate by 0.25% last month with another 0.25% increase expected in December. The total increase of 0.5% would boost the funds rate to 4.1% by yearend. The recent increase in long-term interest rates, however, has been...
by sslifer | Oct 2, 2026 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
October 2, 2026 The string of positive economic indicators continued this week as GDP growth for the first half of the year was revised upwards and third quarter growth seems likely to be even more robust. Is the Fed is supposed to worry about growth that is averaging...
by sslifer | Sep 25, 2026 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
September 25, 2026 The economic data in recent weeks have been surprisingly strong and many market participants fear that the economy is overheating and the Fed will need to push rates sharply higher to slow it down. But not so fast. Thanks to a pickup in...
by sslifer | Sep 18, 2026 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
September 18, 2026 The Fed raised the funds rate by 0.25% at the FOMC meeting this week to 3.75-4.0%. It was almost inconceivable that they could do otherwise. The only” forward guidance” that market participants needed was a clear indication from Fed Chair Warsh...
by sslifer | Sep 11, 2026 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
September 11, 2026 The spike in oil prices this past week has created concern about a sharp pickup in the inflation rate and the possibility of a recession. We think the markets are overreacting but that is what markets always do. Going forward the economy is going to...
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