by sslifer | Dec 13, 2024 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
December 13, 2024 The Federal Reserve will be the focus of attention this week. It is all but a foregone conclusion that it will lower the funds rate by 0.25% to 4.25-4.5%. It told us that is what it intends to do. The Fed is trying to reduce the funds rate to a...
by sslifer | Dec 6, 2024 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
December 6, 2024 The 2025 outlook seems particularly bright characterized by 3.0% GDP growth, the unemployment rate steady at the 4.0% mark, additional slowing in the core inflation rate to 2.3% , and a further reduction in the funds rate from 4.75% today to 3.75% by...
by sslifer | Dec 2, 2024 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
2025 Economic Outlook Conference In times of uncertainty whether you are running a business or planning your investments, knowledge can be your most valuable asset. Stephen Slifer, Owner and Chief Economist at NumberNomics will provide insight regarding...
by sslifer | Nov 22, 2024 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
November 22, 2024 Every economist has attempted to predict the impact on economic growth and inflation from the long list of policies Trump is supporting. Economic forecasting is challenging enough every year when dealing with the usual variables — consumer...
by sslifer | Nov 15, 2024 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
November 15, 2024 The retail sales data for October combined with upwards revisions to September indicate that the consumer is still willing to spend. That is not a great surprise. Driven by the rapid ascent of the stock market and surging home prices, consumer net...
by sslifer | Nov 8, 2024 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
November 8, 2024 When asked about their level of confidence consumers often highlight inflation as a major concern. When inflation began to rise in mid-2020 Fed Chair Powell told us not to worry because the run-up in prices would be temporary. That led us to...
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