by sslifer | Dec 20, 2024 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
December 20, 2022 Recent Fed policy has been confusing to say the least. In September the focus was on the unemployment rate and the Fed eased aggressively. Two months later the focus shifted back to inflation and the Fed seemed nervous. The Fed basically told us...
by sslifer | Dec 13, 2024 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
December 13, 2024 The Federal Reserve will be the focus of attention this week. It is all but a foregone conclusion that it will lower the funds rate by 0.25% to 4.25-4.5%. It told us that is what it intends to do. The Fed is trying to reduce the funds rate to a...
by sslifer | Dec 6, 2024 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
December 6, 2024 The 2025 outlook seems particularly bright characterized by 3.0% GDP growth, the unemployment rate steady at the 4.0% mark, additional slowing in the core inflation rate to 2.3% , and a further reduction in the funds rate from 4.75% today to 3.75% by...
by sslifer | Dec 2, 2024 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
2025 Economic Outlook Conference In times of uncertainty whether you are running a business or planning your investments, knowledge can be your most valuable asset. Stephen Slifer, Owner and Chief Economist at NumberNomics will provide insight regarding...
by sslifer | Nov 22, 2024 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
November 22, 2024 Every economist has attempted to predict the impact on economic growth and inflation from the long list of policies Trump is supporting. Economic forecasting is challenging enough every year when dealing with the usual variables — consumer...
by sslifer | Nov 15, 2024 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
November 15, 2024 The retail sales data for October combined with upwards revisions to September indicate that the consumer is still willing to spend. That is not a great surprise. Driven by the rapid ascent of the stock market and surging home prices, consumer net...
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