by sslifer | Jan 4, 2010 | The Year Ahead Outlook
January 4, 2010 A Year of Transition and Healing It is that time of the year when economists gaze deeply into their (somewhat hazy) crystal balls to provide a glimpse into the future. So here we go: The economy will grow at a rate of 2.5-3.0% in 2010. The...
by sslifer | Aug 31, 2009 | Commentary for the Week
August 31, 2009 Every business cycle some economists conclude that this cycle is different and that the economy will not rebound as vigorously as usual, but they are almost always wrong. However, this recession was the worst any of us have ever experienced. We...
by sslifer | Jul 6, 2009 | Commentary for the Week
July 6, 2009 Two weeks ago this column suggested that the recovery, once it begins, would be characterized by modest growth, not a vigorous V-shaped recovery. A major reason for that conclusion is that consumer spending in the quarters ahead should be subdued for a...
by sslifer | Jun 8, 2009 | Commentary for the Week
June 8, 2009 Given the extremely low level of interest rates, and the extraordinary amount of fiscal stimulus in the pipeline, some economists are concerned about the possibility of significant inflation at some point down the road. How real are those worries, and...
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