by sslifer | Apr 4, 2024 | Consumer, NumberNomics Notes
April 4, 2024 The economy has been chugging along at about a 2.5% pace. Consumer loans growth in the past year has been climbing at a roughly comparable 2.9% pace. Nothing too surprising with the extent of consumer borrowing from banks. Rather than borrowing from a...
by sslifer | Apr 4, 2024 | Federal Reserve, NumberNomics Notes
April 4, 2024 When extreme measures to combat the spread of the corona virus were put into place in mid-March 2020 and the economy fell off a cliff, the Federal government implemented a $3.0 trillion fiscal stimulus package to help stem the slide. At the same time...
by sslifer | Mar 29, 2024 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
March 29, 2024 Crude oil prices have been on the rise since the beginning of the year which some economists believe could delay a midyear Fed rate cut. We disagree. While both crude oil and gasoline prices have risen, there is likely to be little spillover into the...
by sslifer | Mar 22, 2024 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
March 22, 2024 The Federal Reserve has indicated that it is likely to cut the fed funds rate three times in 2024 which would reduce the funds rate from its current level of 5.5% to 4.75% by yearend. But those three rate reductions are the tip of the iceberg. The...
by sslifer | Mar 15, 2024 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
March 15, 2024 We have written frequently about how the Fed’s temporary run-up in inflation turned out not to be temporary. Because wages have not kept pace with the jump in prices, consumer purchasing power has been reduced. This has soured consumer attitudes...
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