Defying Expectations

December 8, 2023 The employment report for November defied expectations as the economy generated 199 thousand jobs and the unemployment rate fell 0.2% to 3.7%.  At the same time, consumer sentiment jumped 13% in December and is now close to its highest level in two...

A Soft Landing is in Sight

November 3, 2022 The employment report for October confirmed that the monthly gains in employment continue to slow gradually.  The 150 thousand increase in employment was held down by the loss of 33 thousand workers in the automobile industry caused by the UAW strike,...

The Beat Goes On

July 7, 2023 At midyear 2023 the economists who suggest that the economy will slip into recession in the second half of the year must be feeling nervous.  The service sector of the economy rebounded in June.  The employment report for June was solid with a 209...