by sslifer | Apr 11, 2024 | Inflation, NumberNomics Notes
April 11 2924 The CPI rose 0.4% in both February and March after climbing 0.3% in January. The year-over-year increase is currently 3.5%. We expect the CPI to increase 3.5% in 2024. The March increase of 0.4% was higher than the 0.3% increase that had been...
by sslifer | Apr 5, 2024 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
April 5, 2024 The economy continues to be on a roll. The monthly employment gains are impressive. The workweek has rebounded. First quarter GDP growth keeps getting revised higher. We have raised our GDP estimates for both the first and second quarters from 2.2%...
by sslifer | Apr 4, 2024 | Federal Reserve, NumberNomics Notes
April 4, 2024 M-2 consists of funds that businesses can use to pay their workers, pay the rent, and keep the lights on, or that consumer can use to pay their rent or mortgage, their car loan, or buy food. Thus, it is a measure of liquidity in the economy. In March...
by sslifer | Apr 4, 2024 | Federal Reserve, NumberNomics Notes
April 4, 2024 When extreme measures to combat the spread of the corona virus were put into place in mid-March 2020 and the economy fell off a cliff, the Federal government implemented a $3.0 trillion fiscal stimulus package to help stem the slide. At the same time...
by sslifer | Mar 15, 2024 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
March 15, 2024 We have written frequently about how the Fed’s temporary run-up in inflation turned out not to be temporary. Because wages have not kept pace with the jump in prices, consumer purchasing power has been reduced. This has soured consumer attitudes...
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