by sslifer | Sep 2, 2022 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
September 2, 2022 The Fed will raise rates at its meeting later this month. Most likely is an increase of 0.75%. But whatever happens, interest rates will climb significantly higher in the months ahead. The Fed has told us that. Pay attention! It is tempting to...
by sslifer | Aug 26, 2022 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
August 26, 2022 Economists continue to debate whether the economy is in recession. Citing back-to-back declines in first and second quarter GDP one group argues that the economy contracted in the first half of the year. Others look for confirming evidence from...
by sslifer | Aug 19, 2022 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
August 19, 2022 We have argued for some time that the underlying cause of the current soaring inflation rate was the surge in money supply growth that began in March and April 2020. Money growth skyrocketed as the Fed expanded its balance sheet by $3.0 trillion in...
by sslifer | Aug 12, 2022 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
August 12, 2022 The recently passed “Inflation Reduction Act” (IRA) is being hailed by President Biden, Democrats, and climate supporters as a game changer. It will allegedly reduce inflation, shrink the deficit, reduce carbon emissions and improve our climate. We...
by sslifer | Aug 12, 2022 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
August 12, 2022 The markets survived the recession scare in the first two quarters of this year. However, they remain convinced that the peak in interest rates is not too far distant. Thus, they believe that growth will have slowed enough, and inflation will have...
by sslifer | Aug 5, 2022 | Commentary for the Week, NumberNomics Notes
August 5, 2022 GDP declined in the first two quarters of the year. Some economists suggest that the economy was in recession during that period of time or about to go into one. But many economic indicators tell us that was not the case. Employment, industrial...
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